Oregon gubernatorial election, 2022
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Governor of Oregon |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 8, 2022 |
Primary: May 17, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 Pre-election incumbent(s): Kate Brown (Democratic) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Oregon |
Race ratings |
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic Inside Elections: Toss-up |
Ballotpedia analysis |
Federal and state primary competitiveness State executive elections in 2022 Impact of term limits in 2022 State government trifectas State government triplexes Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
Oregon executive elections |
Governor |
Tina Kotek (D) defeated five other candidates in the Oregon gubernatorial election on November 8, 2022. Incumbent Governor Kate Brown (D) was term-limited and could not run for re-election.
Kotek, Christine Drazan (R), and Betsy Johnson (I), led the field in fundraising and media coverage.[1] Kyle Kondik of Sabato’s Crystal Ball wrote, “The state is hosting an unusual 3-way race among a trio of women who are all recent members of the state legislature. [...] The race sets up an unusual situation where the winner may not need to crack even 40%.”[1]
Kotek served in the Oregon House of Representatives representing District 44 from 2007 to 2022, and served as state house speaker from 2013 to 2022. In her campaign announcement video, Kotek said, "From homelessness to climate change, it's one thing to talk about our problems, it's another thing to make the tough calls and actually get things done. And that's why I'm running for governor."[2]
Drazan served in the Oregon House of Representatives from 2019 to 2022, and served as house minority leader from 2019 to 2021. In an interview with KATU News, Drazan said, "We can't keep doing the same things we've been doing and expect a different result. [...] Education. Affordability. Public safety. These are issues that all Oregonians care about regardless of party."[3]
Johnson served in the Oregon State Senate from 2007 to 2021. She held office as a Democrat. In a campaign ad, Johnson said, "I'm not captive to the far left or the far right. As an Independent governor, I'm the only one who can actually crack down on crime and homelessness and protect a woman's right to choose."[4]
Writing about the July 29 gubernatorial debate, Oregon Public Broadcasting’s Dirk VanderHart said the candidates, “attempted to stake out the political lanes they hope to ride to victory in November: Kotek as the accomplished progressive, Johnson as the centrist unifier, and Drazan as the change agent for a state that has [...] one-party control.”[5] Click here to read more about the candidates’ key messages.
Minor party, independent, and write-in candidates included Donice Smith (Constitution Party), Paul Romero (Constitution Party of Oregon), and R. Leon Noble (L). Nathalie Paravicini (Pacific Green Party / Progressive Party) withdrew from the race on September 2.[6]
In 2018, Brown won re-election against Knute Buehler (R) 50% to 44%. President Joe Biden (D) won the 2020 presidential vote in Oregon with 57% to Donald Trump’s (R) 40%. In 2020, Oregon held three statewide executive elections for secretary of state, treasurer, and attorney general. Democratic candidates won each of these races by at least 7 percentage points.
Oregon had a Democratic governor since 1987. At the time of the election, Oregon’s most recent Republican governor was Victor G. Atiyeh, who served from 1979 to 1987. Since Oregon became a state in 1859, only one minor party or independent candidate had been elected governor: Julius L. Meier (I), who served from 1931 to 1935.
This was one of 36 gubernatorial elections taking place in 2022. The governor serves as a state's top executive official and is the only executive office that is elected in all 50 states. At the time of the 2022 elections, there were 28 Republican governors and 22 Democratic governors. Click here for a clickable map with links to our coverage of all 50 states' responses to the pandemic and here for an overview of all 36 gubernatorial elections that took place in 2022.
R. Leon Noble (L) and Paul Romero (Constitution Party of Oregon) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. To read those survey responses, click here.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Oregon gubernatorial election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary)
- Oregon gubernatorial election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary)
Election news
This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for Governor of Oregon
The following candidates ran in the general election for Governor of Oregon on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Tina Kotek (D / Working Families Party) | 47.0 | 917,074 | |
Christine Drazan (R) | 43.5 | 850,347 | ||
Betsy Johnson (Independent) | 8.6 | 168,431 | ||
Donice Smith (Constitution Party) | 0.4 | 8,051 | ||
R. Leon Noble (L) | 0.4 | 6,867 | ||
Paul Romero (Constitution Party of Oregon) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 0 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 2,113 |
Total votes: 1,952,883 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Nathalie Paravicini (Pacific Green Party / Progressive Party)
- Tom Cox (L)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for Governor of Oregon
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for Governor of Oregon on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Tina Kotek | 56.0 | 275,301 | |
Tobias Read | 31.7 | 156,017 | ||
Patrick Starnes | 2.1 | 10,524 | ||
George Carrillo | 1.9 | 9,365 | ||
Michael Trimble | 1.0 | 5,000 | ||
John Sweeney | 0.9 | 4,193 | ||
Julian Bell | 0.8 | 3,926 | ||
Wilson Bright | 0.5 | 2,316 | ||
Dave Stauffer | 0.5 | 2,302 | ||
Ifeanyichukwu Diru | 0.4 | 1,780 | ||
Keisha Merchant | 0.4 | 1,755 | ||
Genevieve Wilson | 0.3 | 1,588 | ||
Michael Cross | 0.3 | 1,342 | ||
David Beem | 0.3 | 1,308 | ||
Peter Hall | 0.2 | 982 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 2.8 | 13,746 |
Total votes: 491,445 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Peter Winter (D)
- Casey Kulla (D)
- Nicholas Kristof (D)
- Dave Lavinsky (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for Governor of Oregon
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for Governor of Oregon on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Christine Drazan | 22.5 | 85,255 | |
Bob Tiernan | 17.5 | 66,089 | ||
Stan Pulliam | 10.9 | 41,123 | ||
Bridget Barton | 10.8 | 40,886 | ||
Bud Pierce | 8.7 | 32,965 | ||
Marc Thielman | 7.9 | 30,076 | ||
Kerry McQuisten | 7.6 | 28,727 | ||
Bill Sizemore | 3.5 | 13,261 | ||
Jessica Gomez | 2.6 | 9,970 | ||
Tim McCloud | 1.2 | 4,400 | ||
Nick Hess | 1.1 | 4,287 | ||
Court Boice | 1.1 | 4,040 | ||
Brandon Merritt | 1.0 | 3,615 | ||
Reed Christensen | 0.8 | 3,082 | ||
Amber Richardson | 0.5 | 1,924 | ||
Raymond Baldwin | 0.1 | 459 | ||
David Burch | 0.1 | 406 | ||
John Presco | 0.0 | 174 | ||
Stefan Strek | 0.0 | 171 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 2.0 | 7,407 |
Total votes: 378,317 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Darin Harbick (R)
- John Fosdick III (R)
- Jim Huggins (R)
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Oregon
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff compiled a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party, Working Families Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Oregon House of Representatives District 44 (2007-2022)
Biography: Kotek received a bachelor’s degree in religious studies from the University of Oregon and a master’s degree in international studies from the University of Washington. Her professional experience includes working as a policy advocate for the Oregon Food Bank and policy director for Children First for Oregon.
Show sources
Sources: Tina Kotek 2022 campaign website, "Priorities," accessed May 11, 2022; Facebook, "Tina Kotek on August 8, 2022," accessed August 26, 2022; YouTube, "Oregon gubernatorial debate, hosted by Oregon Newspaper Publishers Assn.," July 29, 2022; Tina Kotek 2022 campaign website, "Meet Tina," accessed May 11, 2022; The Oregonian, "Tina Kotek makes national history as incoming Oregon House Speaker," December 19, 2012; Emily's List, "Tina Kotek," accessed May 11, 2022
This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Oregon in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Oregon House of Representatives District 39 (2019-2022)
Biography: Drazan received a bachelor's degree in communications from George Fox University and worked as chief of staff for Oregon House Speaker Mark Simmons (R). Drazan also worked as political coordinator for the Oregon Restaurant and Lodging Association and as executive director of the Cultural Advocacy Coalition.
Show sources
Sources: Christine Drazan's campaign website, "Roadmap for Oregon's Future," accessed August 26, 2022; Facebook, "Christine Drazan on July 25, 2022," accessed August 26, 2022; YouTube, "Oregon gubernatorial debate, hosted by Oregon Newspaper Publishers Assn.," July 29, 2022; East Oregonian, "Oregon House Republicans vote in new leadership," September 18, 2019; Christine Drazan's personal LinkedIn, accessed March 16, 2022
This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Oregon in 2022.
Party: Libertarian Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Balance for Oregon There is only one statewide elected public servant that represents all of Oregon, all the time. The role of fulcrum between Counties, Districts, Parties, Cities, the People, and the Legislature is the office of the Governor. That role has been abused for decades. Oregon is out of balance. I'm not asking for your vote; I'm asking for your help. Lend me your voice and , together, we will set Oregon free."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Oregon in 2022.
Party: Independent
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Oregon State Senate District 16 (2005-2021)
- Oregon House of Representatives District 1 (2000-2005)
- Port of Saint Helens Board of Commissioners (1992-2000)
Biography: Johnson received a bachelor’s degree in history from Carleton College and a law degree from Lewis and Clark College. Her professional experience included being a commercial pilot, serving as the former director of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, and working as a manager for the Aeronautics Division of the Oregon Department of Transportation.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Oregon in 2022.
Party: Constitution Party of Oregon
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "As a ten year US Navy Veteran, business owner, and father of five, I know the fiery hoops of life. Growing up in Oregon I have bucked hay, changed pipe, shoveled out horse stalls and pig sties, drove tractors, built fence, and cut wood in the Ochocos. I have hunted, fished, camped, hiked, and canoed all over Oregon. I love this Oregon. My life experience and education will serve Oregon well through my degree in workforce education and development to my times as a project manager, auditor, and laborer. Oregon doesn't need anymore politicians who will side-step, deflect, and kick the can down the road. Oregon needs a project manager who understands that the job must be done and done right. I've worked my entire life and it's not been easy. I can truly relate to the average Oregonian. I've been there...I am there. No easy street for me. Effective communications, understanding the core problem (not the symptoms), and conviction of responsibility will make it easier for the tasks before me as the next Governor of Oregon. Never give up, never surrender. There is always a way through and sometimes we have to be creative in the solution. My Contract With Oregon at www.romerofororegon.com will give you the insight you need to make a sound decision to WRITE IN 'Paul Romero' for Oregon Governor."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Oregon in 2022.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
Collapse all
|R. Leon Noble (L)
Liberty and Equality It is easy to focus on these other issues and accidentally cause new ones by suppressing the liberties of the people who you are trying to educate. Our population has ceased to be filled with traditional binary social norms. The rise of our valued LBGTQ+ community, the resurgence of undesirable behaviors, and the increasing divide in politics means that we have to learn how to communicate with each other again. The entirety of society is the result of change. We must embrace change and still have respect for our neighbors, regardless of our agreement with their values. We must allow the people to speak even if it's offensive and to have dominion over their own bodies according to their own morals.
Economy We must recognize the value associated with the development of knowledge and skills. We trade our Time, Effort, Knowledge, and Skill (TEKS) for resources to increase our lifestyles. The majority of our incomes are the direct result of the trade between employers and employees. That relationship is also reflected in client and supplier relationships. The cost of that trade should be left to negotiation between the affected parties. These platform issues are connected. Our Economy is affected by the state of our Safety and Liberties. We must work together, not a State divided, but a State united, to address the proper application of our TEKS to recover the proper values of our TEKS.
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Recovery of state timber lands from federal control, state & county management of our forest lands (public lands), and personal land ownership opportunities.
Parental Rights as ruled on by the US Supreme Court. End indoctrination, CRT, CSE, etc. while recovering our education system through competition of charter schools, home schools and public schools. Bring back the PTA!
R. Leon Noble (L)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
-No more recruiting homeless to Oregon. Return homeless transplants back to their original states, e-verify remaining homeless (illegals will be submitted to ICE), and this should greatly improve the success of existing homeless programs in Oregon that are already funded but which have been plugged up with illegal immigrants and out of state homeless. -Create serious punishment and deterrent for those who would commit acts of violence and destruction of private and public property. -Returning issues affecting all Oregonians back to the voters. Holding the Legislature accountable for ignoring their constituents. -To combat and prevent human trafficking, holding those guilty of participation to fully account and providing support to survivors. Focus will be given to investigating child trafficking and its end; With the elimination of child trafficking, adoption will become easier and made more affordable. -Rescind the CAT tax and remove regulations interfering with the propagation of businesses in Oregon.
-Sanctuary cities will be banned, notably in regards to immigration; the whole state of Oregon will be a sanctuary for the Constitution. America First, Oregonians First.Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
R. Leon Noble (L)
Paul Romero (Constitution of Oregon)
Campaign advertisements
This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.
Tina Kotek
August 29, 2022 |
August 15, 2022 |
January 12, 2022 |
View more ads here:
Christine Drazan
View more ads here:
Betsy Johnson
July 29, 2022 |
July 29, 2022 |
June 30, 2022 |
View more ads here:
Debates and forums
October 19 debate
On October 19, 2022, Kotek, Drazan, and Johnson participated in a debate hosted by The Oregonian/OregonLive and KGW.[21]
Click on the links below for summaries of the event:
October 6 debate
On October 6, 2022, Kotek, Drazan, and Johnson participated in a debate hosted by NBC-5.[35]
Click on the links below for summaries of the event:
October 4 debate
On October 4, 2022, Kotek, Drazan, and Johnson participated in a debate hosted by KATU.[38]
Click on the links below for summaries of the event:
September 27 debate
On September 27, 2022, Kotek, Drazan, and Johnson participated in a debate hosted by WTVZ-TV.[41]
Click on the links below for summaries of the event:
Oregon Public Broadcasting candidate questionnaires
Oregon Public Broadcasting released a series of candidate questionnaires in this race.[56] Click the links below to view Kotek, Drazan, and Johnson's responses.
- Climate change
- Death penalty
- Firearm laws
July 29 debate
On July 29, 2022, Kotek, Drazan, and Johnson participated in a debate hosted by the Oregon Newspaper Publishers Association.[57]
Click on the links below for summaries of the event:
News and conflicts
This race was featured in The Heart of the Primaries, a newsletter capturing stories related to conflicts within each major party. Click here to read about conflict in the 2022 Democratic gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial primaries. Click here to subscribe to the newsletter.
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[58] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[59] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.
Oregon gubernatorial election, 2022: General election polls | ||||||||
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Poll | Date | Kotek | Drazan | Johnson | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[60] | Sponsor[61] |
Nelson Research | October 31-November 1 | 41% | 44% | 5% | 9%[62] | ± 4.1 | 577 LV | - |
Trafaglar Group | October 18-22 | 40% | 42% | 13% | 5%[63] | ± 2.9 | 1,161 LV | - |
Hoffman Research Group | October 17-18 | 35% | 37% | 17% | 12%[64] | ± 3.8 | 684 LV | - |
Data for Progress | October 16-18 | 42% | 43% | 12% | 2%[65] | ± 3.0 | 1,021 LV | - |
Civiqs | October 15-18 | 47% | 39% | 7% | 7%[66] | ± 4.3 | 804 LV | - |
Click [show] to see older poll results | ||||||||
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Poll | Date | Kotek | Drazan | Johnson | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[67] | Sponsor[68] |
Clout Research | October 8-9 | 38% | 43% | 11% | 6%[69] | ± 3.4 | 842 LV | - |
Emerson College | September 30 - October 1 | 34% | 36% | 19% | 11%[70] | ± 3.4 | 796 LV | - |
Clout Research | September 23-26 | 35% | 39% | 16% | 10%[71] | ± 4.8 | 422 LV | - |
DHM Research | September 23-24 | 31% | 32% | 18% | 19%[72] | ± 4.0 | 600 LV | The Oregonian/OregonLive |
Clout Research | August 10-14 | 32% | 33% | 21% | 15%[73] | ± 4.9 | 397 LV | - |
GS Strategy Group | June 23-29 | 33% | 23% | 30% | 15%[74] | ± 4.0 | 600 LV | Betsy Johnson |
Nelson Research | May 25-27 | 28% | 30% | 19% | 24%[75] | ± 4.3 | 516 LV | - |
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[76]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[77][78][79]
Race ratings: Oregon gubernatorial election, 2022 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Democratic | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please email us.
Noteworthy endorsements | ||
---|---|---|
Endorser | Christine Drazan | Betsy Johnson |
Government officials | ||
U.S. Congressman Kurt Schrader (D) source | ✔ | |
Individuals | ||
Former Oregon Governor Ted Kulongoski source | ✔ | |
Newspapers and editorials | ||
Josephine County Eagle source | ✔ | |
Pamplin Media Group source | ✔ | |
The Bend Bulletin source | ✔ | |
Yamhill County News-Register source | ✔ |
Election spending
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from candidates submitted to the Oregon Secretary of State in this election. It does not include information on spending by satellite groups. Click here to access the reports.
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[80][81]
Details about satellite spending of significant amounts and/or reported by media will be included in this section as it becomes available. To notify us of satellite spending in this race, email us.
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Presidential elections
Cook PVI by congressional district
Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Oregon, 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
Oregon's 1st | Suzanne Bonamici | Democratic | D+18 |
Oregon's 2nd | Cliff Bentz | Republican | R+15 |
Oregon's 3rd | Earl Blumenauer | Democratic | D+22 |
Oregon's 4th | Open | Democratic | D+4 |
Oregon's 5th | Kurt Schrader | Democratic | D+2 |
Oregon's 6th | New Seat | N/A | D+4 |
2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines
2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Oregon[82] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | ||
Oregon's 1st | 68.4% | 29.1% | ||
Oregon's 2nd | 36.6% | 61.1% | ||
Oregon's 3rd | 72.5% | 25.2% | ||
Oregon's 4th | 55.1% | 42.3% | ||
Oregon's 5th | 53.2% | 44.4% | ||
Oregon's 6th | 55.2% | 42.1% |
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
Republican | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
New Republican | D | D | R |
Following the 2020 presidential election, 57.4% of Oregonians lived in one of the state's eight Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 27.9% lived in one of 24 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Oregon was Solid Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Oregon following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
Oregon county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Solid Democratic | 8 | 57.4% | |||||
Solid Republican | 24 | 27.9% | |||||
New Democratic | 2 | 12.8% | |||||
Trending Republican | 2 | 1.9% | |||||
Total voted Democratic | 10 | 70.2% | |||||
Total voted Republican | 26 | 29.8% |
Historical voting trends
Oregon presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 15 Democratic wins
- 16 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Statewide elections
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Oregon.
U.S. Senate election results in Oregon | ||
---|---|---|
Race | Winner | Runner up |
2020 | 56.9% | 39.3% |
2016 | 56.1% | 33.4% |
2014 | 55.7% | 36.9% |
2010 | 57.2% | 39.4% |
2008 | 48.9% | 45.6% |
Average | 55.0 | 38.9 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Oregon
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Oregon.
Gubernatorial election results in Oregon | ||
---|---|---|
Race | Winner | Runner up |
2018 | 50.0% | 43.6% |
2016 | 50.6% | 43.4% |
2014 | 49.9% | 44.1% |
2010 | 50.7% | 42.7% |
2006 | 49.0% | 46.2% |
Average | 49.9 | 44.7 |
State partisanship
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Oregon's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Oregon, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Republican | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 5 | 7 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Oregon's top three state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Oregon, November 2022 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | Kate Brown |
Secretary of State | Shemia Fagan |
Attorney General | Ellen Rosenblum |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Oregon State Legislature as of November 2022.
Oregon State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 18 | |
Republican Party | 11 | |
Independent | 1 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 30 |
Oregon House of Representatives
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 37 | |
Republican Party | 23 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 60 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Oregon was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Oregon Party Control: 1992-2022
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | S | S | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Oregon and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Oregon | ||
---|---|---|
Oregon | United States | |
Population | 4,237,256 | 331,449,281 |
Land area (sq mi) | 95,995 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 82.6% | 70.4% |
Black/African American | 1.9% | 12.6% |
Asian | 4.5% | 5.6% |
Native American | 1.1% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Two or more | 6.2% | 5.2% |
Hispanic/Latino | 13.2% | 18.2% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 91.1% | 88.5% |
College graduation rate | 34.4% | 32.9% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $65,667 | $64,994 |
Persons below poverty level | 12.4% | 12.8% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
Election context
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates in Oregon in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Oregon, click here.
Filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates, 2022 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source | Notes |
Oregon | Governor | Major party | 1,000 | $100.00 | 3/10/2022 | Source | Petition signatures only required in lieu of filing fee. |
Oregon | Governor | Unaffiliated | 23,744 | N/A | 8/30/2022 | Source |
Election history
2018
- See also: Oregon gubernatorial election, 2018
General election
General election for Governor of Oregon
The following candidates ran in the general election for Governor of Oregon on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Kate Brown (D) | 50.1 | 934,498 | |
Knute Buehler (R) | 43.7 | 814,988 | ||
Patrick Starnes (Independent Party of Oregon) | 2.9 | 53,392 | ||
Nick Chen (L) | 1.5 | 28,927 | ||
Aaron Auer (Constitution Party) | 1.1 | 21,145 | ||
Chris Henry (Progressive Party) | 0.6 | 11,013 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 3,034 |
Total votes: 1,866,997 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Alex DiBlasi (G)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for Governor of Oregon
Incumbent Kate Brown defeated Ed Jones and Candace Neville in the Democratic primary for Governor of Oregon on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Kate Brown | 83.8 | 324,451 | |
Ed Jones | 8.6 | 33,464 | ||
Candace Neville | 7.5 | 29,110 |
Total votes: 387,025 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary election
Republican primary for Governor of Oregon
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for Governor of Oregon on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Knute Buehler | 46.1 | 144,103 | |
Sam Carpenter | 29.0 | 90,572 | ||
Greg Wooldridge | 20.2 | 63,049 | ||
Bruce Cuff | 1.6 | 4,857 | ||
Jeff Smith | 1.5 | 4,691 | ||
Dave Stauffer | 0.7 | 2,096 | ||
Jonathan Edwards | 0.3 | 861 | ||
Keenan Bohach | 0.3 | 787 | ||
Brett Hyland | 0.2 | 755 | ||
Jack Tacy | 0.2 | 512 |
Total votes: 312,283 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Independent Party of Oregon primary election
Independent Party of Oregon primary for Governor of Oregon
Patrick Starnes defeated Skye Allen and Dan Pistoresi in the Independent Party of Oregon primary for Governor of Oregon on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Patrick Starnes | 58.7 | 6,030 | |
Skye Allen | 23.4 | 2,405 | ||
Dan Pistoresi | 18.0 | 1,846 |
Total votes: 10,281 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Shawn Liebling (Independent Party of Oregon)
2016
The special election for Governor was held on November 8, 2016.
Incumbent Kate Brown defeated Bud Pierce, Cliff Thomason, James Foster, and Aaron Auer in the Oregon governor election.[83]
Oregon Governor, 2016 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic/Working Families | Kate Brown Incumbent | 50.70% | 985,027 | |
Republican | Bud Pierce | 43.53% | 845,609 | |
Independent Party of Oregon | Cliff Thomason | 2.44% | 47,481 | |
Libertarian | James Foster | 2.33% | 45,191 | |
Constitution Party | Aaron Auer | 1.00% | 19,400 | |
Total Votes | 1,942,708 | |||
Source: Oregon Secretary of State |
2014
- See also: Oregon gubernatorial election, 2014
Democratic incumbent John Kitzhaber won re-election on November 4, 2014.
Governor of Oregon, 2014 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | John Kitzhaber Incumbent | 49.9% | 733,230 | |
Republican | Dennis Richardson | 44.1% | 648,542 | |
Pacific Green | Jason Levin | 2% | 29,561 | |
Libertarian | Paul Grad | 1.5% | 21,903 | |
Constitution | Aaron Auer | 1.1% | 15,929 | |
Progressive | Chris Henry | 0.9% | 13,898 | |
Nonpartisan | Write-in votes | 0.5% | 6,654 | |
Total Votes | 1,469,717 | |||
Election results via Oregon Secretary of State |
2022 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:
- Michigan's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary)
- North Carolina Supreme Court elections, 2022
- Oregon gubernatorial election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary)
- Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District election, 2022
- United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2022 (August 9 Democratic primary)
See also
Oregon | State Executive Elections | News and Analysis |
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External links
Footnotes
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 Sabato's Crystal Ball, "The Gubernatorial Races: Look to the West," August 18, 2022
- ↑ Facebook, "Tina Kotek on January 12, 2022," accessed September 8, 2022
- ↑ Facebook, "Christine Drazan on January 11, 2022," accessed September 8, 2022
- ↑ Youtube, "Betsy Johnson for Governor - 'Both,'" September 6, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "Oregon governor candidates stake their positions in first debate," July 29, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "Tina Kotek wins potential rival over with embrace of campaign finance changes," September 7, 2022
- ↑ NBC News, "Oregon Governor Election Results 2022," accessed November 11, 2022
- ↑ The New York Times, "Oregon Election Results," accessed November 10, 2022
- ↑ The New York Times, "Oregon Election Results," accessed November 10, 2022
- ↑ KOIN, "Poll: Drazan holds slight edge over Kotek in Oregon governor’s race," November 2, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "Tina Kotek on October 27, 2022," accessed October 28, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "Bernie Sanders on October 26, 2022," accessed October 28, 2022
- ↑ Trafalgar Group, "Oregon Statewide General Election Survey," October 26, 2022
- ↑ Data for Progress, "Data for Progress Survey," accessed October 25, 2022
- ↑ KOIN, "Obama endorses Kotek for governor, calls her ‘the real deal’," October 24, 2022
- ↑ Portland Mercury, "Mercury General Election 2022 Endorsements: State and Federal," October 20, 2022
- ↑ Civiqs, "Oregon Election Survey," October 20, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "Oregon governor candidate Tina Kotek on the big questions," October 19, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "Oregon governor candidate Christine Drazan on the big questions," October 19, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "Oregon governor candidate Betsy Johnson on the big questions," October 19, 2022
- ↑ 21.0 21.1 The Oregonian, “Watch: Final Oregon governor debate hosted by The Oregonian/OregonLive and KGW,” October 19, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "Tina Kotek on October 19, 2022," accessed October 20, 2022
- ↑ Hoffman Research Group, "Oregon Statewide Poll Topline Report," October 19, 2022
- ↑ Josephine County Eagle, "Editorial: A New Direction for Oregon: Vote Christine Drazan for Governor," October 19, 2022
- ↑ The Skanner, "The Skanner News Endorsement: Kotek Best Choice for Oregon," October 18, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "Betsy Johnson on October 16, 2022," accessed October 18, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "Tina Kotek on October 16, 2022," accessed October 18, 2022
- ↑ White House, "Remarks by President Biden in a Reception for Tina Kotek," October 15, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "Oregon gubernatorial candidates have different visions for future of state’s gun laws," October 14, 2022
- ↑ Eugene Weekly, "Endorsements – State Races," October 13, 2022
- ↑ Bend Source Weekly, "Vote Tina Kotek For Oregon Governor," October 12, 2022
- ↑ Clout Research, "Survey of Likely General Election Voters in Oregon," October 10, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "Betsy Johnson on October 7, 2022," October 7, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Gubernatorial Updates (October 7, 2022)," October 7, 2022
- ↑ 35.0 35.1 YouTube, “Decision 2022 - Oregon Gubernatorial Debate,” October 6, 2022
- ↑ Emerson College, "Oregon 2022: Republican Christine Drazan with Two-Point Lead Over Democrat Tina Kotek for Governorship; Sen. Wyden Holds 19-Point Lead in Re-election Bid," October 4, 2022
- ↑ Yamhill County News-Register, "Passing reins to Betsy Johnson best bet for meaningful change," October 4, 2022
- ↑ 38.0 38.1 YouTube, “KATU News Race for Oregon Governor Debate,” October 4, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "In their words: How Oregon’s governor candidates would handle Measure 110," October 3, 2022
- ↑ OregonLive, "The Oregonian/OregonLive poll shows Christine Drazan, Tina Kotek neck-and-neck in race for Oregon governor," September 28, 2022
- ↑ 41.0 41.1 C-SPAN, “Oregon Gubernatorial Debate,” September 27, 2022
- ↑ Clout Research, "Survey of Likely General Election Voters in Oregon," September 26, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "Oregon governor candidates weigh in on death penalty," September 22, 2022
- ↑ The Hill, "Cook Report shifts Oregon governor’s race toward Republicans," September 16, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "Oregon governor candidates on how they’d handle climate change," September 16, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Gubernatorial Ratings," September 9, 2022
- ↑ Clout Research, "New Surveys Show Race for Governor a Toss-Up; Republicans Leading in Two Congressional Races," September 1, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "Unaffiliated candidate Betsy Johnson answers OPB’s questions on the homelessness crisis," August 16, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "Republican Christine Drazan answers OPB’s questions on the homelessness crisis," August 16, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "Democrat Tina Kotek answers OPB’s questions on the homelessness crisis," August 3, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "Questions for the candidates: Betsy Johnson answers OPB’s questions on housing," August 3, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "Questions for the candidates: Republican Christine Drazan answers OPB’s questions on the housing crisis," August 3, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "Questions for the candidates: Democrat Tina Kotek answers OPB’s questions on the housing crisis," August 3, 2022
- ↑ KGW, "Top Oregon gubernatorial candidates meet for first debate," August 1, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "Democratic Congressman Kurt Schrader endorses Betsy Johnson for Oregon governor," July 19, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Public Broadcasting, "What do you want to ask the three contenders for Oregon governor?" August 3, 2022
- ↑ YouTube, “Oregon gubernatorial debate, hosted by Oregon Newspaper Publishers Assn.,” July 29, 2022
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑ Undecided: 9%
- ↑ Others: 1%
Undecided: 4% - ↑ Undecided: 12%
- ↑ Not sure: 2%
- ↑ Someone else: 2%
Unsure: 5% - ↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑ Other: 1%
Not sure: 5% - ↑ Someone else: 2%
Undecided: 9% - ↑ Someone else: 2%
Not sure: 8% - ↑ Noble: 3%
Smith: 1%
Undecided: 15% - ↑ Undecided: 15%
- ↑ Undecided: 15%
- ↑ Not sure/refused: 24%
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
- ↑ Oregon Secretary of State, "November 8, 2016, General Election Abstract of Votes," accessed May 25, 2017
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