A Quantitative Model for the Integrated Policy Framework

Author/Editor:

Tobias Adrian ; Christopher J. Erceg ; Jesper Lindé ; Pawel Zabczyk ; Jianping Zhou

Publication Date:

July 7, 2020

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.

Summary:

Many central banks have relied on a range of policy tools, including foreign exchange intervention (FXI) and capital flow management tools (CFMs), to mitigate the effects of volatile capital flows on their economies. We develop an empirically-oriented New Keynesian model to evaluate and quantify how using multiple policy tools can potentially improve monetary policy tradeoffs. Our model embeds nonlinear balance sheet channels and includes a range of empirically-relevant frictions. We show that FXI and CFMs may improve policy tradeoffs under certain conditions, especially for economies with less well-anchored inflation expectations, substantial foreign currency mismatch, and that are more vulnerable to shocks likely to induce capital outflows and exchange rate pressures.

Series:

Working Paper No. 2020/122

Subject:

Frequency:

regular

English

Publication Date:

July 7, 2020

ISBN/ISSN:

9781513549668/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA2020122

Pages:

56

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