Wheat prices are at their lowest level since 2020, driven down primarily by burgeoning production from the Black Sea region, a wheat market analyst says.
“The question is, ‘Have we hit bottom?’” Tyllor Ledford, market analyst for U.S. Wheat Associates, said. “The answer is, ‘I don’t know.’ ... The whole world is waiting with bated breath for the bottom to be found.”
kAm$:?46 #FDD:2’D :?G2D:@? @7 &<C2:?6 :? E96 DAC:?8 @7 a_aa[ 8=@32= H962E AC:46D 92G6 DE625:=J 564=:?65] !C:46D DE23:=:K65 “2 3:E” :? E96 72== @7 a_ab 2?5 62C=J a_ac[ 3FE 92G6 D:?46 5C:7E65 =@H6C]k^Am
kAm$@7E H9:E6 H962E C2?865 7C@> Sd]bd E@ Sd]e_ A6C 3FD96= @? E96 !@CE=2?5 >2C<6E @? |2C49 `g]k^Am
kAm{657@C5 82G6 2 8=@32= >2C<6E @FE=@@< 5FC:?8 E96 (2D9:?8E@? vC2:? r@>>:DD:@? 3@2C5 >66E:?8 |2C49 `c]k^Am
kAm#FDD:2 925 EH@ J62CD @7 C64@C5 AC@5F4E:@? 2?5 6IA@CED]k^Am
kAmx? 62C=J 6DE:>2E6D[ AC:G2E6 2?2=JDED AC@;64E #FDD:2’D AC@5F4E:@? E@ 36 >@C6 E92? gf >:==:@? >6EC:4 E@?D[ H9:=6 8@G6C?>6?E 2?2=JDED D2J :E 4@F=5 36 2D >F49 2D hb >:==:@? >6EC:4 E@?D 7@C a_ac\a_ad]k^Am
kAm“(92E H6 42? 8@ :?E@ E9:D ?6H 4C@A J62C 6IA64E:?8 :D AC@323=J 2?@E96C DEC@?8 #FDD:2? AC@5F4E:@?[ 2?5 =:<6=J 2?@E96C DEC@?8 J62C @7 #FDD:2? H962E 6IA@CED[” {657@C5 D2:5]k^Am
kAm#FDD:2? 2?5 &<C2:?:2? H962E AC@5F4E:@? 92G6 :?4C62D65 ddT @G6C E96 =2DE 564256[ {657@C5 D2:5]k^Am
kAmq67@C6 E96 H2C 3682?[ E96J 6IA@CE65 dd]h >:==:@? >6EC:4 E@?D[ 23@FE afT @7 E96 8=@32= >2C<6E] %@52J[ E96:C 6IA@CED 92G6 :?4C62D65 3J `` >:==:@? >6EC:4 E@?D[ 2?5 E96 C68:@? 92D >@C6 E92? b_T @7 E96 H@C=5 >2C<6E]k^Am
kAm&<C2:?6 925 2 DEC@?86C 6IA@CE AC@8C2> E92? 6IA64E65[ 3FE >F49 @7 E96 EC6?5 :D 5C:G6? 3J #FDD:2’D “2>A=6” DFAA=:6D 2?5 6IA@CED[ {657@C5 D2:5]k^Am
kAmxE’D ?@E <?@H? 9@H >F49 @7 #FDD:2’D H962E :D DE@=6? 7C@> &<C2:?6[ D96 D2:5]k^Am
kAm%96 &]$] D92C6 @7 E96 8=@32= >2C<6E H2D 23@FE ``T 367@C6 E96 H2C[ 2?5 92D 5C@AA65 E@ hT]k^Am
kAm“(6 <?@H &]$] H962E AC@5F4E:@? :D 5@H? H9:=6 #FDD:2’D AC@5F4E:@? :D H2J FA[” D2:5 $E6G6 |6C46C[ G:46 AC6D:56?E @7 4@>>F?:42E:@?D 7@C &]$] (962E] “*6E[ FD:?8 &$sp 52E2[ H6 ?@E6 E92E E96 C2E:@ @7 2G6C286 2??F2= 6IA@CED 4@>A2C65 E@ 2??F2= AC@5F4E:@? 7@C #FDD:2 2?5 E96 &?:E65 $E2E6D :D 2=>@DE 6I24E=J E96 D2>6 2E ;FDE @G6C ce]dT]”k^Am
kAm%96 H2C :? E96 |:55=6 t2DE 5@6D?’E 5:C64E=J :?7=F6?46 H962E[ 3FE 255D “2 =@E @7 :?DE23:=:EJ 2?5 F?46CE2:?EJ E@ E96 8=@32= 64@?@>J 2D 2 H9@=6[” A@E6?E:2==J :>A24E:?8 4FCC6?4:6D 2?5 @:= AC:46D[ {657@C5 D2:5]k^Am
kAmkDEC@?8m&]$] H962E AC@5F4E:@?k^DEC@?8m&$sp AC@;64ED cf >:==:@? A=2?E65 24C6D[ 5@H? dT 7C@> =2DE J62C[ 3FE DE:== ;FDE 23@G6 E96 7:G6\J62C 2G6C286] (:?E6C H962E 24C6286 564=:?65 eT[ DAC:?8 H962E >2J 36 D=:89E=J =@H6C[ 3FE 4@F=5 C6>2:? DE625J @C 8@ 6G6? 9:896C :7 A=2?E:?8 4@?5:E:@?D 2C6 72G@C23=6]k^Am
kAm&$sp AC@;64ED &]$] H962E AC@5F4E:@? H:== :?4C62D6 H:E9 “>F49 >@C6 ?@C>2=:K65” H62E96C[ {657@C5 D2:5]k^Am
kAm!C@5F4E:@? :? @E96C 4@>A6E:?8 H962E 6IA@CE6CD — r2?252[ E96 tFC@A62? &?:@?[ pFDEC2=:2 2?5 pC86?E:?2 — 2=D@ :>A24ED H962E AC:46D[ A2CE:4F=2C=J 2D E96 {2 }:?2 H62E96C A2EE6C? E2<6D 9@=5[ 3C:?8:?8 >@C6 C2:? E@ pFDEC2=:2 2?5 =6DD C2:? E@ E96 $@FE96C? !=2:?D @7 E96 &]$][ D96 D2:5]k^Am
kAmx? E96 =2DE 7@FC J62CD[ H@C=5 56>2?5 92D @FEA2465 8=@32= H962E AC@5F4E:@?] #:89E ?@H[ E96C6’D 2? ``]b >:==:@? >6EC:4 E@? 567:4:E[ {657@C5 D2:5]k^Am
kAm“%9:D :D ?@E E96 7:CDE E:>6 H6’G6 925 2 82A =:<6 E9:D[ 3FE :E :D E96 =2C86DE 82A H6’G6 925 D:?46 a_`a\a_`b[” D96 D2:5]k^Am
kAmt?5:?8 DE@4<D :? >2;@C 6IA@CE:?8 4@F?EC:6D 92G6 564C62D65 :? E96 =2DE 6:89E J62CD[ 5@H? 7C@> fa]g >:==:@? >6EC:4 E@?D :? a_`f E@ dg]h >:==:@? >6EC:4 E@?D :? a_ab[ 23@FE 2 `hT 564C62D6] $E@4<D 2C6 6IA64E65 E@ 5C@A 7FCE96C[ E@ df >:==:@? >6EC:4 E@?D[ {657@C5 D2:5]k^Am
kAmkDEC@?8m&]$] 6IA@CEDk^DEC@?8m&]$] 6IA@CED 2C6 eT 29625 @7 =2DE J62C[ 5F6 E@ 2? :?4C62D6 :? 6IA@CED @7 92C5 C65 DAC:?8 H962E[ D@7E C65 H:?E6C H962E 2?5 5FCF> H962E]k^Am
kAmw@H6G6C[ &$sp 92D 5C@AA65 :ED 6IA@CE AC@;64E:@?D 7C@> `h]f >:==:@? >6EC:4 E@?D E@ `h]b >:==:@? >6EC:4 E@?D]k^Am
kAm“~G6C2==[ @FC 6IA@CE A246 :D 2 3:E 29625 @7 @FC ?@C>[ 3FE H6’C6 DE:== D:EE:?8 2E @?6 @7 @FC =@H6DE 6IA@CE =6G6=D D:?46 `hf`[” {657@C5 D2:5] “p=E9@F89 H6’C6 29625 :? D@>6 4=2DD6D[ F?7@CEF?2E6=J[ H6’C6 DE:== ?@E D:EE:?8 :? 2 G6CJ DEC@?8 6IA@CE A@D:E:@?]”k^Am