Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS)’s Post

Our new Global Catastrophe Recap summarizes the impacts of natural #disasters in Q1 of 2024, including the costly Noto Earthquake, severe U.S. events, extensive Chile wildfires and more. What stood out so far this year and what to expect, as the persisting anomalies of ocean temperatures and expected La Niña conditions are likely to contribute to an extremely active North Atlantic #HurricaneSeason? Explore more at https://lnkd.in/e-QTWs4N #CatastropheInsight #ImpactForecasting

So many things that surprised us in 1H 2023! All this and much more in our 1H 2023 Global Catastrophe Recap we’ve just released. 📊 Overview: - 1H economic losses of $194bn (highest since 2011) driven by destructive February earthquakes in Turkey & Syria, revealing remaining protection gaps - 1H insured losses of $53bn (4th highest on record) driven by relentless severe convective storm activity in the U.S. - Many billion-dollar events, including New Zealand floods, Emilia-Romagna floods, global droughts, etc. - Climate change continued to become more evident - notable surface and marine heatwaves with record-breaking temperatures, devastating wildfires, Antarctic sea ice extent at extreme record lows - El Niño intensifies – what can we expect? Read the report to find out more: ⤵ https://lnkd.in/gu-h6jYt #CatastropheInsight #ImpactForecasting #ClimateChange

🌀NOAA predicts hurricane season to ‘above normal’ The prediction initiates the Atlantic hurricane season with a 60% likelihood, according to the latest update. This increase from the previous outlook highlights the potential for more intense tropical activity. The forecast calls for 14-21 named storms, of which 6-11 could become hurricanes, and 2-5 could become major hurricanes. El Nino conditions are currently observed, but their impact on limiting tropical activity remains uncertain. Factors such as wind shear, trade winds, and the West African Monsoon also contribute to this updated seasonal forecast. Key Takeaway 1️⃣ NOAA increases the likelihood of an "above-normal" Atlantic hurricane season to 60%. 2️⃣ Forecast predicts 14-21 named storms, 6-11 hurricanes, and 2-5 major hurricanes. 3️⃣ El Nino conditions may not have a significant impact on limiting tropical activity. 4️⃣ Wind shear, trade winds, and the West African Monsoon are key factors in the updated forecast. In addition to the above normal hurricane season. The post below highlights how the US is suffering from increased frequency of billion dollar disasters. In the 1980s the frequency was 75 days with billion dollar disasters being completely absent for the 1987 and only one recorded in 1988. Now if we flash forward to the 2020s ad the average is down to 18 days. This has significant implications going forward Let's discuss the potential impacts in the comments below. Please Like, Comment, and Share if you found this content helpful. Original article: https://lnkd.in/e9cMEADE #hurricaneseason #weatherforecasting #climatescience #noaa #climatecrisis

If this doesn't scream #climatecrisis, I don't know what will. When I've been interviewed by the news about major fire events, they often ask me how I can stay positive when the world we know is breaking down around us, and no matter how loud we sound the alarms, politicians seems complacent. This graphic depicts the stark reality that gives me hope. There are many reasons that motivate humans, but at the highest level, its: values, policy, and economics. To meet our basic physiological and safety needs in societies reliant on exchange of currency, we need economics. To meet our needs of love, belonging and esteem, we adopt values and policies as social constructs that create societies. the truth is that while *policy* is stagnant, our economics and values are catalyzing change. Companies can no longer afford the risks of complacency, of meeting policy. After PG&E filed the first ever climate bankruptcy after the 2018 Camp Fire resulting in an estimated $30B (USD) in liability; power utilities across the west have had a major wake up call. And now, we are seeing it in with the #mauifires. People and governments are vulnerable and disaster after disaster, must offer us hope for action to make a different future for ourselves. with every one of these losses, the climate crisis becomes personal to more and more people. The time is NOW; STOP fossil fuels. #maslow #climateemergency #climateactionnow #climatechange #bankruptcy #wildfires #wildfireseason Katharine Hayhoe Crystal Kolden Peter Kalmus Karyn Boenker Dr. Kimberley R. Miner Caroline Gezon Allison Wolff Max (Florian) Schwandner Laura Dee Jessica McCarty

Billion+ dollar disasters are now frequent. Rapid shifts are needed to adapt to and mitigate climate change. All organizations, all of us. Must create our climate risk plan. The impacts are here and economies are going to move. #climaterisk #businessrisk

Thanks for posting Patrick Chopson. This chart reveals quite clearly the acceleration of change on this planet and it will continue to accelerate. While Patrick and green companies like https://cove.tools/ and new sustainability programs at Penn like https://lnkd.in/epdMKbpy help us to mitigate or slow the rate of climate disasters, I am working on the other side: How do we adapt and survive the changes that are happening. My new Survivability Playbook will help to answer these questions. Stay tuned. #Survivability

Always Prevention is Better than "Cure." Almost I ve been worked with handling #drought #flooding #cyclone #storm datasets excluding #wildfire and #freezes. The most dangerous one from Tamizh Land's climate scenario... In the past 20 years, Tamizh Land have witnessed the wrath of nature in varying forms- It saw the devastating floods in 2015 touted as the heavy worst rainfall witness in over 100 years followed by the cyclones and in the 2016 year, the failed monsoons have resulted in drought. The 2016's monsoons entered the state with spatial and temporal rainfall creating a deficit of 62 percent of normal rainfall. The Tamizh Land's government declared a drought on January 10,2017, after 144 years, Tamizh Land announced drought hit. 2015-Flood 2016-Low amount of Rain fall 2017-Drought ( Ha ! Ha! This is called "Climate Change) The complete drought assessment I calculated by one new index "NDDI -Normalized Differential Drought Index." combination of NDVI-Normalized Differential Vegetation Index and NDWI-Normalized Differential Water Index. This project (Drought assessment in southern Tamizh Land by using Remote Sensing and GIS techniques) is an evident with Remote Sensing and GIS data analytics technology, it is possible to not only predict the drought but also assess the drought/ crop stress level and provide customized solutions to the formers as per their resources and land availability. I think This is time to Integrate the Geo-Informatics Engineering & Technology with all climate and weather monitoring system/Organization... For the effective disaster Management and Mitigation Process, we have to build one new advance Geo-informatics Engineering and Technology oriented Forecasting and Early warning system. Let's build one new Disaster-Free world for all of our next generation. #EarthForALL #ClimateAction #TowardsBrightandOptimisticFuture

If it feels like the magnitude and frequency of what we see on the news globally is increasing, the perception appears to be correct. This graphis illustrates that in less than fourty years, the days between billion dollar climate disasters has dropped from 75 days to 18 days.