Research and analysis

Predicting the demand for cycling

Reviews the creation of a national online tool to predict cycling levels in local authority areas.

From:
Department for Transport
Published
27 March 2016

Documents

National propensity to cycle: executive summary

PDF, 2.01 MB, 40 pages

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National propensity to cycle: full report with annexes

PDF, 14.2 MB, 453 pages

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Details

First phase of the development of a national propensity to cycle tool to predict the demand for cycling in local authority areas.

This report reviews:

  • how gender and age affect the preference for cycling infrastructure being separated from traffic
  • how cycling levels may differs among different economic groups, due to infrastructure quality

The tool can predict cycling flows rates in numerous scenarios including:

  • doubling the amount of cycling
  • more e-bikes
  • women and men being equally likely to cycle
  • if people were as likely to choose to cycle as they are in the Netherlands
Published 27 March 2016

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